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Last updated on October 8, 2025
Probability tells us how likely an event is to happen. It is found by dividing the number of favorable outcomes by the total number of possible outcomes. An experiment is any action with an uncertain result, like rolling a die. The sample space (S) is the set of all possible outcomes, such as {1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}. An event (E) is part of the sample space, like getting even numbers {2, 4, 6}.
The chance that a specific event will occur. It is the number of ways something can happen divided by the number of possible outcomes. For example, the probability of rolling an even number is the number of favorable outcomes / total number of outcomes
Number of favorable outcomes = 3
Total number of outcomes = 6
Thus, P(E) = 3/6 = 0.5
There are different types of events in probability. Some important types of events are listed below
Independent Event:
In independent events, two events are said to be independent when the occurrence of one does not affect the occurrence of the other. For example, rolling a die and tossing a coin are two separate events that do not affect each other’s results.
Dependent Event:
Two events are dependent when the outcome of an event is affected by the outcome of another event. For e.g., pulling out two cards from a deck with no replacement.
Mutually Exclusive Event:
Two events are said to be mutually exclusive if they cannot take place concurrently. For example, rolling a 3 and 5 on a single six-sided die. The events are mutually exclusive as they cannot occur together.
Complementary Event:
Complementary event is the opposite of the given event. The sum of the probabilities of the event and its complement is always 1.
For e.g., let's say today the probability of rain is 0.7. Therefore the probability of no rain is 1 minus probability of rain. So, probability of no rain = 1 - 0.7 = 0.3.
Certain Event:
The event that is guaranteed to happen, here p(E) is 1.
Impossible Event:
The impossible event is an event that can never happen, where P(E) = 0.
It is the probability of event A occurring when event B has already happened. Conditional probability is found using the formula, \(P(A|B) = P(A∩B) / P(B)\), where P(B) ≠ 0.
It indicates the probabilities of every possible outcome of a particular event.
The theoretical probability is calculated using formulas based on the possible outcomes. Experimental probability is calculated using the actual experiment.
It is used to calculate the conditional probability of event A after the occurrence of event B.
The law of large numbers states that as the number of trials increases, the experimental probability will get closer to the theoretical probability.
Mastering the basic terms of probability helps you analyze experiments and outcomes accurately. These tips guide you to apply concepts effectively in real-life scenarios.
Students make mistakes when working with terms in probability. Let’s learn a few common mistakes and ways to avoid them.
In the real world, we use probability in different ways, such as weather forecasting, medical diagnostics, market research, and many more. Let’s learn a few applications of probabilities.
Two fair coins are tossed. What is the probability that both coins land on heads?
The probability that both the coins will land heads is ¼
The probability is calculated using the following formula;
The number of favorable outcomes/the number of outcomes
The probability of getting heads on one toss = ½
The tosses are independent; the joint probability that both coins land on heads is
P(H₁ and H₂) = P(H₁) × P(H₂)
=½ × ½ = ¼
A bag contains 5 red and 3 blue balls. If two balls are drawn one after the other without replacement, what is the probability that both are red?
The probability of drawing two red balls in succession without replacement is 5/14
Total number of balls = 8
Number of red balls = 5
The probability of drawing a red ball is (P (red1)) = ⅝
In the second draw;
After one red ball is drawn, 4 red balls remain out of a total of 7 balls:
P (red2 | red1) = 4/7
Multiply the two probabilities: P(both red) = ⅝ × 4/7
= 20/56 = 5/14
A single card is drawn from a standard 52-card deck. Given that the card drawn is a face card (Jack, Queen, or King), what is the probability it is a King?
The probability of getting a king is 1/3
The total number of face cards in the deck = 12
The probability that a face card is a king is = number of kings/total face cards
= 4/12 = 1/3
When rolling a six-sided die, what is the probability of getting either a 2 or a 5?
The probability of getting either a 2 or 5 is 1/3
The total number of outcomes = 6
The probability of rolling a 2 is ⅙
The probability of rolling a 5 is ⅙
As these events are mutually exclusive, adding the probabilities = ⅙ + ⅙ = 2/6 = ⅓
How many ways can 4 people be arranged in a row?
The number of arrangements of 4 people is 24
The number of arrangements of 4 people is given by the factorial of 4
That is 4! = 4 × 3 × 2 × 1 = 24
Jaipreet Kour Wazir is a data wizard with over 5 years of expertise in simplifying complex data concepts. From crunching numbers to crafting insightful visualizations, she turns raw data into compelling stories. Her journey from analytics to education ref
: She compares datasets to puzzle games—the more you play with them, the clearer the picture becomes!